Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230310          10          41          38          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851154          13          50          34           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   3.06097e-07           4          11          76           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             8.50       37.25       45.75        8.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0