Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230017          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000839136          14          47          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.90326e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.00       40.50       43.25        7.25        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4