Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229873          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000840752          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.71793e-07           1          35          58           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             7.50       36.50       48.00        7.25        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7