Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230600          11          42          36          11           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852855          13          49          35           3           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.16762e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             7.50       30.00       51.75       10.75        0.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2