Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231228           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867051          12          46          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   3.82426e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             6.50       25.25       54.25       13.50        0.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3