Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232109           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888889           5          46          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   3.98952e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            66           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             4.00       24.50       58.25       12.75        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3