Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233707           3          45          39          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919885           7          52          35           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.80407e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.00       28.00       52.75       15.25        1.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2