Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234869           4          42          43          10           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937446           3          39          49           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   7.41104e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       27.25       50.25       17.00        2.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9