Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236638           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000969952           2          29          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   9.19748e-07           1           0          46          45           8        M1.1
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             2.50       28.75       45.50       20.00        3.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M8.1