Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236259           4          29          57           9           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970130           2          29          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   8.42021e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.00       18.25       57.25       19.00        3.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6