Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234254           4          47          37          11           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938059           3          39          49           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   5.86256e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.75       27.50       54.00       14.00        1.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1