Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234620           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000941210           1          35          53          11           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.08290e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       25.00       54.00       18.25        1.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7