Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232326           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898682           5          43          42          10           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.41080e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.6
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             3.00       25.75       58.50       12.25        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2