Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231191           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000872153          12          46          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   4.30066e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.50       30.75       52.50        9.25        1.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0