Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231710           8          41          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878283          11          43          41           5           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   4.71867e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             7.00       33.00       48.50       11.25        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6