Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   5.57135e-06          38          60           2           0           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   7.86965e-06          17          75           7           1           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.28944e-08          35          65           0           0           0        B1.3
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            26.75       65.75        6.50        1.00        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B2.5