Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.39260e-06          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.36663e-06          61          36           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
GOES Xray  =   6.66344e-09          68          32           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            49.75       42.75        6.75        0.75        0.00     B1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0