Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.33626e-06          13          79           7           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   9.18265e-06          16          76           8           0           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.85070e-08           2          42          53           3           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.75       62.75       25.50        2.00        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5