Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.16096e-06          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   4.77429e-06          49          49           2           0           0        B1.0
GOES Xray  =   5.49771e-09          78          22           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            51.00       43.25        5.25        0.50        0.00   < B1.0 (no flare)
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)