Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.19823e-05           5          30          60           5           0        C1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.94532e-05           5          30          62           3           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   1.37308e-07           1           6          80          13           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             3.75       28.50       60.50        7.25        0.00     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9