Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.05577e-05           1           3          82          14           0        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.58793e-05           1           6          82          11           0        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.59718e-07           1           7          78          14           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             1.50       16.00       70.75       11.75        0.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4