Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.72090e-05           2           2          78          18           0        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.64108e-05           5          45          44           6           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.46477e-07           1           5          81          13           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.00       18.25       66.50       11.50        0.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      B8.6