Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.08749e-05           5          31          59           5           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   3.29152e-05           2           3          75          20           0        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   5.46036e-08           8          77          14           1           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             5.25       38.75       47.75        8.00        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4