Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.33480e-05           1           3          80          16           0        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.79059e-05           2           7          81           9           1        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.42960e-07           1           6          80          13           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.00        8.50       77.25       12.75        0.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8