Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.09561e-05           1           3          79          17           0        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.34768e-05           4          54          39           3           0        B8.6
GOES Xray  =   2.26013e-07           1           1          70          26           2        C6.0
est. ISN   =       29.0000           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.00       26.75       56.50       13.25        0.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0