Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.24522e-05           1           4          79          16           0        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.78252e-05           2           8          80           9           1        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.62965e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.5
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             2.25       17.00       68.50       12.00        0.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5