Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.17185e-05          11          69          20           0           0        B5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.18624e-06          16          76           8           0           0        B3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.38676e-07           1           7          79          13           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             8.75       49.75       35.50        6.00        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2