Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   7.47830e-06          29          68           3           0           0        B3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.41902e-06          16          77           7           0           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   2.73320e-08          11          88           1           0           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =       26.0000           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            15.75       71.50       11.25        1.50        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0