Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.44898e-05           1          18          75           6           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.40707e-05           1          14          77           8           0        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   1.35190e-07           1           8          79          12           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             2.25       24.00       65.75        8.00        0.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6