Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   8.24345e-06          21          74           4           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.25047e-06          18          74           8           0           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.27136e-07           1           9          82           8           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       26.0000           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            11.75       52.50       32.00        3.75        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0