Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.28051e-05           5          26          63           6           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.10594e-05           4          23          68           5           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   9.88251e-08           1          31          67           1           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.75       23.00       63.50        9.25        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B7.9