Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   8.10405e-06          21          75           4           0           0        B3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   7.06886e-06          16          78           5           1           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.09943e-08           7          71          21           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       29.0000           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            12.75       68.00       17.00        2.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4