Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.22255e-05          10          71          19           0           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.61953e-05           5          48          43           4           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   4.66406e-08           9          83           7           1           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.00       64.00       25.75        2.25        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9