Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.32041e-05           5          26          64           5           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.32297e-05           3          17          75           5           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   8.72017e-08           3          48          46           3           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             3.00       23.00       61.00       11.75        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0