Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.92604e-05           2           5          66          27           0        C4.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   3.34110e-05           2           2          79          17           0        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.90694e-07           1           2          77          18           2        C4.0
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25        7.00       71.75       19.25        0.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1