Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.28303e-05           1           2          79          18           0        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.56538e-05           1           7          81          11           0        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   1.52980e-07           1           7          82          10           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       136.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        4.25       73.50       20.00        1.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3