Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.30013e-05           1           3          77          19           0        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.85666e-05           2           6          84           7           1        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.03376e-07           1          27          70           2           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       106.000           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             1.25        9.25       73.50       14.00        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2