Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.24683e-05           1           3          80          16           0        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.92057e-05           1           7          81          10           1        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   1.41264e-07           1           7          79          13           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             0.75        6.50       76.75       15.50        0.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6