Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.59796e-05           1          15          78           6           0        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.37651e-05           3          16          76           5           0        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   1.49125e-07           1           7          82          10           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       14.50       74.50        9.50        0.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8