Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   9.65447e-06          14          75          10           1           0        B3.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.37787e-05           3          54          40           3           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   1.31706e-07           1          10          77          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            17.00       45.00       34.00        4.00        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5