Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   5.26481e-06          38          60           2           0           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.45559e-06          23          74           2           1           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   7.08565e-08           7          67          26           0           0        B7.4
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            26.25       61.75       11.25        0.75        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1