Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   2.55235e-05           1          12          81           6           0        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.78115e-05           2           8          80           9           1        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.41182e-07           1           7          79          13           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                             5.75       22.50       64.25        7.25        0.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1