Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   6.85563e-06          28          69           3           0           0        B2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   8.05246e-06          18          74           8           0           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   1.05765e-07           1          28          68           3           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            16.50       58.25       24.00        1.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4