Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   5.81735e-06          36          62           2           0           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.58156e-06          23          73           3           1           0        B2.3
GOES Xray  =   2.11263e-09          80          20           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            47.50       48.75        3.50        0.25        0.00     B1.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)