Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.87045e-06          43          54           3           0           0        B1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.27955e-06          24          74           1           1           0        B2.5
GOES Xray  =   2.29823e-08          18          82           0           0           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            33.75       62.75        3.25        0.25        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B7.1