Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.88351e-06          42          55           3           0           0        B1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.28576e-06          24          74           1           1           0        B2.5
GOES Xray  =   4.06074e-08           8          89           3           0           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                            19.75       66.25       11.75        2.25        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1