Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   1.68003e-06          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   2.96321e-06          61          36           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
GOES Xray  =   5.77669e-09          76          24           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            52.50       40.75        6.00        0.75        0.00   < B1.0 (no flare)
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)