Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   3.41460e-07          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   1.17946e-06          61          36           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
GOES Xray  =   2.45329e-09          80          20           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            58.25       36.50        4.75        0.50        0.00   < B1.0 (no flare)
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)