Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   4.81432e-07          55          44           1           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
LYRA ch2-4 =   6.75097e-07          61          36           3           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
GOES Xray  =   4.24758e-09          80          20           0           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            54.25       39.50        5.75        0.50        0.00   < B1.0 (no flare)
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)