Estimated Flare Probability ("Var" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =   5.17448e-06          38          60           2           0           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   7.60270e-06          17          75           7           1           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.79285e-08           6          67          26           1           0        B7.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            28.00       60.50       11.00        0.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5